#Focus on macro news in November#
On November 2, US Eastern Time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell announced a 75 basis point rate hike, in line with market expectations. At the same time, he also said that the peak interest rate may be higher than the Fed expected in September. Powell emphasized that history strongly warns against easing policy too soon. The remarks were interpreted as a hawkish signal, U.S. stocks fell sharply, and Bitcoin also fell slightly. On November 4, the United States will announce non-agricultural data; on November 10, the United States will announce October CPI data. In the first ten days of November, the encryption market will be hit by many macro news.
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Crypto Market Aggregator|币圈新闻汇总
[1/3] [Crypto/TradFi Merge Update] 2026-02-08 00:00 (Beijing Time) ━━ Important News ━━ 1. China issues regulatory guidelines for “Responsible Vacancies (RWAs) issued overseas by domestic assets”: The guidelines clarify the division of regulatory responsibilities based on the principle of “same business, same risk, same rules.” This means that RWAs issued overseas by domestic assets will be subject to the following regulatory framework: Foreign debt RWAs will be regulated by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC); equity RWAs and asset securitization RWAs will be regulated by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC); RWAs involving the repatriation of funds raised overseas will be regulated by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE); and other forms will be regulated by the CSRC in conjunction with relevant departments according to their respective responsibilities. (BlockBeats | PANews(Caixin) | Odaily) 2. Vietnam plans to tax the transfer/trading of crypto assets: 0.1% of the transaction amount for individuals, and 20% for institutions or corporations; crypto transactions are exempt from VAT. Vietnam's Ministry of Finance has proposed a draft tax law that would subject individuals (regardless of whether they are residents or non-residents) to a 0.1% personal income tax on the transfer of crypto assets through licensed platforms (similar to the securities tax system); related income of institutional investors might be subject to a 20% corporate income tax; and the transfer/trading of crypto assets would be exempt from value-added tax (VAT). The draft law also proposes setting high thresholds for digital asset exchanges, such as a legal capital of 10 trillion Vietnamese dong (approximately US$408 million) and a foreign ownership limit of 49%. (Hanoi Times | BlockBeats | Foresight News | TechFlow) 3. Tether assisted Türkiye in freezing approximately $544 million in crypto assets involved in illicit gambling/money laundering. Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino stated that the freeze was executed at the request of the Istanbul Prosecutor's Office. Disclosed information shows that Tether has assisted law enforcement in over 1,800 cases in 62 countries, freezing approximately $3.4 billion in USDT. Elliptic data indicates that by the end of 2025, Tether and Circle have blacklisted approximately 5,700 wallets, freezing a total of approximately $2.5 billion (about two-thirds of which is USDT). (PANews | BlockBeats | Foresight News | Cointelegraph) 4. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) reported a huge loss in its Q4 earnings report: unrealized losses of approximately $17.4 billion and a net loss of $12.4 billion. The company stated that it holds approximately $2.25 billion in cash reserves to cover interest and dividends and that there is currently no pressure to sell liquidity. However, Michael Saylor stated in a conference call that "selling Bitcoin is also an option," prompting the market to reassess potential selling pressure. (PANews | Odaily) 5. Bithumb "accidental Bitcoin sending" incident: Customers are expected to lose approximately 1 billion Korean won. The company has launched a compensation and rectification program and established a 100 billion Korean won guarantee fund. Bithumb apologized and stated that it would compensate users who panic-sold at low prices during a specific period with "the transaction price plus an additional 10%", and would also provide compensation to users who visited the site during the incident and offer 7 days of zero transaction fees across the entire site. At the same time, it would cooperate with regulatory investigations, upgrade asset verification/multiple payment/anomaly detection and external auditing, and establish a 100 billion won "customer protection fund". (PANews | BlockBeats | Foresight News | TechFlow) 6. Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) Digital Asset Advisory Group Meeting: Discussion on Enhancing Liquidity and Expanding Product and Service Offerings for Licensed Platforms. The SFC and licensed virtual asset trading platforms discussed the “Strengthening the Digital Asset Ecosystem Plan,” focusing on enhancing liquidity, promoting the expansion of product and service offerings, and emphasizing the balance between innovation and investor protection. (BlockBeats | Foresight News | TechFlow) 7. Market rumors of "institutional collapse" are gaining traction: Winternute CEO expressed strong skepticism, stating that the current market is more orderly and the risks are controllable. Historically, risk signals from 3AC, FTX, and other institutions have often been exposed quickly through industry channels, but no similar signs have been observed so far. Most of the related rumors come from anonymous accounts with insufficient credibility. (PANews | Odaily) Market Analysis 1. Next week's macroeconomic "high-density risk window": a concentration of data and official speeches may amplify cross-asset volatility and transmit it to cryptocurrencies. The US non-farm payrolls, CPI, and retail sales will be released in quick succession, and several Federal Reserve officials will speak out; coupled with geopolitical and policy variables (such as US-Iran negotiations, the Japanese general election, etc.), the risk of volatility spillover increases. (BlockBeats | TechFlow | PANews) 2. 10X Research: Selling pressure may mainly come from the selling and forced liquidation of spot ETFs; a short-term rebound/consolidation is possible, but new lows may still be reached in the summer. CNBC, citing 10X Research, believes that selling pressure this week may come from Bitcoin spot ETF sell-offs, sharp drops triggering forced liquidations, and being dragged down by weaker risk assets; however, further declines this summer cannot be ruled out, with the low point potentially pointing to the $40,000–$50,000 range. (BlockBeats | PANews | Odaily)
ETH
3.64%
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yueya fnf
02-05
Encrypted News Highlights, February 5, 2026 Global financial markets are mired in deleveraging today. Hit by disappointing ADP employment data and earnings warnings from tech stocks, the crypto market experienced its most severe "pin-drop" decline since the beginning of the year, with BTC briefly falling below the $72,000 mark. However, amidst this extreme market panic, regulatory benefits from Wall Street and Hong Kong are being realized at an accelerated pace. 🏛️ Key News: Institutional Dividends and Policy Shifts: Trump May Sign "Crypto Law" Before April: White House officials revealed that Trump is expected to formally sign the Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act (CLARITY) before April. SEC Chairman Paul Atkins has also publicly called for allowing crypto assets to be included in the $12.5 trillion 401(k) retirement accounts. Hong Kong's stablecoin licenses will be piloted in a limited number of applications: The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has confirmed receiving 36 applications for stablecoin licenses and plans to issue the first batch of licenses in March. HKMA Chairman Eddie Yue emphasized that the initial phase will adhere to the principle of "few but high-quality" and will strictly scrutinize the quality of reserve assets and cross-border compliance. Fidelity's FIDD Officially Launched: Fidelity's first USD stablecoin, FIDD, has been launched on the Ethereum mainnet and is available to retail and institutional investors. Fully backed by cash and short-term US Treasury bonds, the coin offers daily transparency audits and aims to challenge USDT's market dominance. CFTC's regulatory overhaul: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced the withdrawal of its previous stringent regulatory proposals for prediction markets, signaling a more relaxed federal regulatory environment for the sector. 📊 Market Analysis: Leveraged Collapse and Bottom Testing BTC experienced a flash crash: BTC briefly plunged to $71,888 due to the negative impact of ADP employment data (an increase of only 22,000), ETH fell below $2,100, and SOL fell below $90. A massive $1 billion liquidation: The total liquidation volume across the network surged to $1.05 billion in 24 hours (another figure is $780 million), with long positions accounting for over 92%. The largest single liquidation occurred in HTX's ETH-USDT contract, involving approximately $8.4 million. The fear and greed index has fallen below 20, dropping to 16 (extreme fear). Arthur Hayes analyzed that the underlying logic for the plunge is that dollar liquidity has recently contracted by about $300 billion due to governments hoarding cash to mitigate the risk of a shutdown. The "resistance level" for spot ETFs: The average holding cost of BTC spot ETFs (approximately $84,100) has been broken. If BTC cannot quickly recover the $75,000 watershed, the technical outlook suggests it may seek support at $69,000 or even the 200-week moving average. 🚀 Project Updates and Safety Warnings CME plans to issue “CME Coin”: The CEO of CME Group announced at the earnings conference that the company is evaluating the issuance of its own token and is partnering with Google to launch “tokenized cash” for use as collateral. Tether's fundraising cools down: Reports indicate that Tether has reduced its fundraising target from $20 billion to approximately $5 billion, as investors question its high valuation of $500 billion. Its reserves currently hold approximately $193 billion, and its transaction volume hit a record high in Q4 2025. Multicoin founder Kyle Samani steps down from management to focus on his Solara ecosystem treasury. On-chain data suggests that his associated addresses recently converted $220 million worth of ETH into $HYPE. Coinbase's new listing roadmap: Announced that DOOD will be listed on the spot market on February 5th, and added projects such as Rainbow (RNBW) and Aztec (AZTEC) to its listing watchlist. Security Alert: Holdstation Hacked: Wallet compromised, resulting in a loss of approximately $100,000. Hackers transferred funds to the Bitcoin network via cross-chain bridges. Users are advised to exercise caution when authorizing cross-chain wallets. Recommendation: Pay close attention to the non-farm payroll data, which was postponed to February 11th. BTC is currently fluctuating wildly between $72,000 and $74,000. Avoid blindly buy the dips with leverage. Consider dollar-cost averaging opportunities near your cost basis.
BTC
2.3%
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Crypto Market Aggregator|币圈新闻汇总
02-05
[2/2] (BlockBeats | mlmonchain | BlockBeats | Odaily) 4. CME FedWatch: The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in March is approximately 90.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 25bp rate cut by June is approximately 46.0%. CME's "FedWatch" shows that market expectations for near-term rate cuts are weak: the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in March is approximately 90.1%; the probability of a cumulative 25bp rate cut by June is approximately 46.0%. (TechFlow) 5. Macroeconomic and Credit Indicators: The US Economic Surprise Index rises to 53.5; technology credit pressure increases. The US Economic Surprise Index rose to 53.5 (the highest level since November 2023); at the same time, the distressed technology loan and technology bond distress ratios increased, indicating rising credit pressure. (Kobeissi Letter) ━━ Project Updates ━━ 1. Coinbase Makes a Frenzy: DOOD Spot Listing Launched, Roadmap Updated (RNBW/RAVE/AZTEC/ESP) Coinbase announced that DOOD spot trading will launch on February 5th (trading will open once liquidity and technical conditions are met); it also updated its roadmap, adding Rainbow (RNBW), RaveDAO (RAVE), Aztec (AZTEC), and Espresso (ESP), emphasizing that final launch still depends on market making and infrastructure maturity. (CoinbaseMarkets | CoinbaseMarkets | CoinbaseMarkets | BlockBeats) 2. Ripple Prime Integrates Hyperliquid, Expanding Institutional DeFi Access Ripple's prime brokerage/institutional platform, Ripple Prime, added support for the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid, aiming to enhance institutional capabilities in DeFi trading and risk control (including centralized risk management, cross-margin trading, etc.). (CoinDesk | Decrypt) 3. Vitalik Transfers Approximately $29 Million in ETH: Funding the Ethereum Foundation and Reiterating Calls for Major Network Overhaul Reports indicate that Vitalik Buterin transferred approximately $29 million in ETH to fund the Ethereum Foundation and reiterated his call for a larger-scale network overhaul amid a weakening market. (Decrypt) 4. European Stablecoin Progress: BBVA Joins EU Bank Stablecoin Project Qivalis Spanish bank BBVA has become the 12th member of Qivalis, a project that plans to launch a euro-pegged token this year to compete with the "digital dollar" in payments and settlements. (CoinDesk) ━━ Other ━━ 1. US Bureau of Labor Statistics Adjusts Key Data Release Dates: Non-Farm Payrolls Delayed to February 11, CPI Revised to February 13 The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has adjusted its data schedule: December JOLTS will be released on February 5; the January non-farm payrolls report is postponed to February 11; the January CPI is revised to February 13. (BlockBeats) 2. Geopolitical Risks: US-Iran Nuclear Talks Reportedly Cancelled, Oil Prices Rise to Around $65/Barrel Reports indicate that the US-Iran nuclear talks, originally scheduled for Friday, have been cancelled, driving oil prices up to around $65/barrel. (Kobeissi Letter) 3. US Stocks and Earnings Reports: Nasdaq Falls About 1.5%; Alphabet Raises 2026 Capital Expenditure Guidance US stocks closed with the S&P 500 down about 0.5% and the Nasdaq down about 1.5%. Alphabet raised its 2026 capital expenditure guidance to the range of $175 billion to $185 billion, drawing market attention. (DB | Tradfin) 4. Precious Metals Pullback and Fund Flows: Gold/Silver Plunge, Record Net Outflows from China's Four Largest Gold ETFs Reports indicate a rapid pullback in gold and silver prices; meanwhile, China's four largest gold-backed ETFs experienced a record net outflow of approximately $980 million in a single day. (Kobeissi Letter | BlockBeats)
HYPE
3.54%
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