Odaily星球日报讯 法巴银行预计美联储将会采取鹰派降息政策，该行可能会“为暂停进一步降息打开大门，但（暂停降息的）时间长短未定”。 此外，Plante Moran Financial Advisors 首席投资官 Jim Baird 表示，任何导致市场预期美联储降息步伐可能比投资者预期的更慢的因素，都可能给股市带来一点下行空间。

Odaily星球日报讯 法巴银行预计美联储将会采取鹰派降息政策，该行可能会“为暂停进一步降息打开大门，但（暂停降息的）时间长短未定”。此外，Plante Moran Financial Advisors 首席投资官 Jim Baird 表示，任何导致市场预期美联储降息步伐可能比投资者预期的更慢的因素，都可能给股市带来一点下行空间。

法巴银行：预计美联储将会采取鹰派降息政策

Odaily reports that Barclays Bank expects the Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish rate cut policy, and the bank may "open the door to suspending further rate cuts, but the duration of the (suspension of rate cuts) is uncertain". In addition, Jim Baird, Chief Investment Officer of Plante Moran Financial Advisors, said that any factor that causes the market to expect the Federal Reserve's rate cut pace to be slower than investors expect could lead to a slight downside for the stock market.

Odaily reported that BNP Paribas expects the Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish rate cut policy, and the bank may "open the door to suspending further rate cuts, but the duration of the (suspension of rate cuts) is uncertain". In addition, Jim Baird, Chief Investment Officer of Plante Moran Financial Advisors, said that any factor that causes the market to expect the Federal Reserve's rate cut pace to be slower than investors expect could bring a slight downside to the stock market.

BNP Paribas: Expect the Fed to adopt a hawkish rate cut policy

Odaily Odaily News reports that the team of Citigroup economists led by Andrew Hollenhorst believes that a loose labor market will alleviate inflationary pressures in the service sector, and the weak global situation will suppress commodity prices. This will lead the Federal Reserve to take aggressive action, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate cut at each meeting before July 2023, bringing the federal funds rate to between 3% and 3.25%. This is much lower than the market expectation of the federal funds rate reaching around 4% by then. (<金十>)

Citigroup: The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at each meeting before July next year

Odaily Odaily report: After a mixed series of data releases this week, swap traders have reduced their bets on the Federal Reserve's path to easing policy. This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.82% cumulatively, the S&P 500 index fell 0.64% ending a three-week winning streak, and the Nasdaq rose 0.34%. Bitcoin has risen for seven consecutive weeks, marking the longest winning streak since 2021. The final important monetary policy week of 2024 will attract investors' attention. According to statistics, by next Friday's close, at least 22 central banks representing two-fifths of the global economy will set borrowing costs, the results of which are likely to highlight that as policymakers weigh different risks for the coming year, the momentum of easing policy now appears increasingly unbalanced. The key points that the market will focus on in the new week are as follows: Monday 15:30, ECB President Lagarde speaks; Tuesday 04:45, Bank of Canada Governor MacLem speaks; Thursday 03:00, the Fed releases its interest rate decision and economic outlook summary; Thursday 03:30, Fed Chair Powell holds a monetary policy press conference; Thursday (time to be determined), the Bank of Japan announces its interest rate decision; Thursday 14:30, Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda holds a monetary policy press conference; Thursday 21:30, US Q3 real GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter revision, US Q3 real personal consumption expenditure quarter-on-quarter preliminary, US December Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index. It is worth mentioning that the Fed's preferred core inflation indicator - the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCE) - will be released next Friday, and according to economists' forecasts, the November PCE (excluding food and energy) to be released on Friday may rise 0.2%, the smallest increase in three months, and this report will also show robust growth in consumer spending and income, indicating the economy's resilience.

Macroeconomic outlook for next week: The Fed’s December rate cut may be a foregone conclusion

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