Odaily星球日报讯 加密货币做市商 FalconX 的研究主管 David Lawant 表示，“我认为市场共识是，无论大选结果如何，比特币都可能表现良好，我们的分析表明，市场围绕即将到来的选举的期权活动表现出明显的看涨偏见。”共和党候选人、前总统特朗普公开支持加密货币，以至于比特币被视为一种所谓的“特朗普交易”。他的民主党对手、现任副总统哈里斯承诺支持该行业的法规框架，这与拜登政府对该行业的打击形成了对比。美联储进一步降息等非政治因素被视为助长了乐观情绪。（Bloomberg）

FalconX研究主管：比特币市场围绕美国大选的期权活动表现出明显看涨偏见

Odaily Odaily News: David Lawant, head of research at cryptocurrency market maker FalconX, said, &quot;I think the market consensus is that Bitcoin is likely to perform well regardless of the outcome of the election, and our analysis shows that the market&#39;s options activity around the upcoming election shows a clear bullish bias.&quot; Republican candidate and former President Trump openly supports cryptocurrencies, so much so that Bitcoin is seen as a so-called &quot;Trump trade.&quot; His Democratic opponent, current Vice President Harris, has pledged to support the industry&#39;s regulatory framework, in contrast to the Biden administration&#39;s crackdown on the industry. Non-political factors such as further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are seen as fueling optimism. (Bloomberg)

FalconX Research Director: Bitcoin market options activity around the US election shows a clear bullish bias

The expectation of people is optimistic about the Republican victory, believing that this is beneficial for Bitcoin. However, some people believe that Bitcoin will rise regardless due to the influence of various macroeconomic factors.

According to Bloomberg, cryptocurrency options traders are increasing their bets on Bitcoin reaching a new high by the end of November.

The open interest of options expiring on November 8 has a strike price as high as $75,000, indicating that this is a key market focus area during this period.

<Trump>
Trump and Harris debated on CNN. (Sam Reynolds/C...)

Bitcoin will rise to $80,000 regardless of Trump or Harris victory, trader says

Odaily Planet Daily Report: An analyst said that Bit option traders are increasingly focused on call options with strike prices above $80,000 that expire in November. The market expects two important events to occur next month: the US presidential election on November 5 local time and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision on November 8. Bitwise Europe Research Head André Dragosch said: "The Bit options with the largest open interest are those expiring on November 8, the day of the FOMC meeting and a few days after the US election, and they are clearly skewed towards call options. This supports the hypothesis that Bit option traders are generally preparing for a bullish outcome." The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to announce a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate at its November 8 meeting, with a 90.2% chance of a rate cut. A rate cut could increase risk appetite in the broader market, and traders appear to be positioning accordingly in the cryptocurrency market. (The Block)

Analyst: Bitcoin options traders eyeing call options above $80,000

The author: Revc, Jinse Finance

Preface
The 2024 US presidential election has entered the final sprint, and the political situation has reversed again. Trump has regained the lead in betting odds and polls in key swing states, making the election result more unpredictable. This political turmoil has already affected the global financial markets, especially the performance of the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin has attempted to break through the $70,000 mark several times in the past week. Although the volatility is high, investors remain cautious, showing a more conservative investment atmosphere, as they wait for a clear direction in the US stock market.

Tense election changes
According to the latest forecast by <The Economist>, the former...